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Remember Altavista, Boo, Aol and Geocities, should I have bought those you mean? Yeah, IF YOU SHOUT LIKE THIS IT MAKES YOUR POINT COMPLETELY VALID. January 10, 2018, 11:01 am. But from now on, Im going to replace that sob story with this: Man, I missed out on MMM fingernail clippings! to remind myself of the absurdity of that imagined sunk cost Ive burdened myself with. Its only valuable when you cash it out to a real currency again, like the US dollar, and use it to buy something useful like a nice house or a business. If I lie to you and take your money, thats one thing. I dont think so. So just relax, lean into it, and grow rich with me. All points noted. False analogies. If you dont have fiat money to buy the bitcoin then someone is going to have to start getting paid in btc. You cannot have blockchain without bitcoin. Scrypt based coins like litecoin also have ASICs for them already, the L3+. January 5, 2018, 12:35 pm. But it also has some ideology built in the assumption that giving national governments the ability to monitor flows of money in the financial system and use it as a form of law enforcement is wrong. Is it likely worth closer to $0 than to $20,000? No matter how attractive a populous finds them to be, cryptocurrencies will remain the territory of criminals, speculators and consumers of novel technologies until they are auditable. Gold bullion has several thousand years of history. No guarantees that if bitcoin drops that it will ever come back. Many more rants when the price of internet companies skyrocketed even though there was no evidence of current or future profits, and many more people claiming there was no ceiling because the internet revolutionizes how businesses operate and profits dont matter. And if immutability isnt necessary for your use case, just use a database and save yourself the headache. Trust IS the value of Bitcoin. Are you willing to bet half a million dollars that this bubble hasnt peaked? Besides, how do you get BTC in the first place? You keep spouting off nonsense. That has happened before in the world. If you feel comfortable developing your own metrics with which to gauge coins and want to invest in projects long term, you can. Scott Nicholson Mr. Money Mustac. Think about how tomorrows generation will use far a more advanced blockchain tech to interact with far more advanced internet and general tech to create things that we cant even conceive of yet, let alone why they would have value. This is certainly a correct analysis Mr. Mustache. Not likely, bitcoin mining farms are in China because of the cheaper energy costs. Joey Graziano No one controls it, so no one can rewrite the data. I dont have time to play PC games 24 hours a day, so I might as well use my fancy computer to make some money while Im away from it. Do you also believe that you have a prayer of creating an internationally recognized currency that simply skips out on national and international financial accounting laws? Mining other coins can still be profitable with graphics cards, mainly ETH/ETC. This part of it is ideological to me: You Must Earn Your Money By Creating Value for Everyone. The idea of have a decentralized monetary system outside of government and banking control is great in my mind. I will say that it has taken me some time to wrap my head around blockchain related ideas and how they could have value. No. Let them hold on to their fiat currency if they like to. It makes you want to laugh and cry. Either way I dont think youve fully connected the dots as to why it has value. For a shortcut to understanding good investing, you can also simply look up Warren Buffets thinking on almost any topic hes careful enough about offering opinions that by the time he makes a statement on something, you can be pretty sure it will be among the best answers out there. Furthermore, I would like to emphasize that for Bitcoin (used here to refer to generic cyrptocurrencies) to become useful in an everyday sense, I would never need to change out of Bitcoin and into another currency, such as USD. Banks and elites will remain even with Bitcoin, and if it goes your way it will probably the miningfarms and people who collect the most. For one, your irrational hatred of gold, whose function for human beings you do not seem to understand. True. However, there are a couple things you are wrong about here, and are worth commenting on. ie beauty counter for nerds. As a result, I have cashed out on their misfortune. Why not one of the other 1500 cryptocurrencies? But youre entitled to your opinion nonetheless. If youre one of these credible people, please do so in the comments or in a blog post on Medium that we can all read. If I am able to speculate successfully and retire sooner, I would hope that the other Mustachians would cheer me on. Of course there is speculation. > what is the fundamental reason that existing currencies have been driven up so high? January 3, 2018, 12:26 pm. No? Bitcoin finally surpassed $40K and topped at $41,940 on Jan 8. Note that if you remove any of these essential elements, youve made the system effectively worthless. Even the USD was a deflationary currency till the 60s after which Nixon got it out of the gold standard. They dont tend to go longer than that. Thats not a bubble, but something else entirely. Bitcoins are all the same, they are not numbered, they dont rot and dont have a shelf life. We are in the beginning of the S curve and it will stabilize just like all other disruptive technology does, Adaptation as currency (this is happening, craigslist accepts Bitcoin, many local shops started accepting, you can even have Mrs. MM get paid by bitcoin on etsy. Please dont take the Proof of Work Blockchain like Bitcoins as the Blockchain. Perhaps us libertarian believers are wrong, and this can be maintained indefinitely. Electricity is the least of the problems, especially in an era where renewables are replacing conventional power everywhere. Also, for the first time in history, it will soon be possible to make millions of sub-cent transactions efficiently without any significant fees. They could also plateau until earnings catchup with prices. Basically for doing the equivalent of what my grocery store does when I use a credit card. January 2, 2018, 5:53 pm, Dear Mr. Mustache, I am so sorry you had to write this at all. Given that he vouched for Blockchain, but not for the hype over Bitcoin itself, you seem to be overreacting. (which is more Mustachian..), Michelle, Mr Buffetts advice is clearly correct I mean, its Warren Buffett were talking about. If not, you may want to think about selling. Market prices are not set by consensus. January 2, 2018, 5:44 pm. This is not going to happen. Kevin S Coleman Hows that Nvidia stock doing now that GPU sales have been skyrocketing this last year giving them two record years in 2016 and 2017? Sure the BTC reward goes down, but the USD/BTC price keeps rising offsetting the lower reward for the time being. The Internet has become insufferable with all of these Bitcoin Clowns. Volunteerism could get you only so far, but the data could only ever be as safe as the amount of resources it takes to break the system. Thank you! Hey MMM, how do you plan to stop speculation, why might it be necessary to do so? Why not somebody elses fingernail clippings? MissSaraBee Im patiently watching on the sideline to see how this is going to pan out. It has reached the point that a big percentage of stories in the financial news and questions in Mr. Money Mustaches email inbox are about whether or not we should all invest in BitCoin. I have used an ETH mining machine to replace the space heater in my office and have seen only marginal energy increases. You keep talking about transactions needed for it to be a currency but fail to mention in your article that Lightning Network is in the works to address this very problem. Or when I have to go to the grocery store to buy milk and theres the sign that says NO POWER, CASH ONLY and my toddler is crying for milk, Im going to pay them in cash. If you introduced a brand new commodity to the world, would you expect the price to be stable? I agree totally. MMM has clearly thought about this more than most, however I think people would need to read more than this post to completely dismiss that a current crypto will have long term value. But really, I'm not a finance guy - someone who devotes most of his time to optimizing money. Personally I fail to see the reference between Failhypecoins and retails challenges with shopping online. If that money is a key component to your wealth and retirement plan, you may want to consider something with a little less volatility. Well thats all due to the crypto currency craze. Power consumption from bitcoin mining would only amount to a fraction of 1 percent of global demand even in 2020. Bitcoin 2.0 is already here, people just dont know it yet. Cryptocurrency could be the proverbial cure for cancer, but if its made illegal or heavily regulated through prudent or reactionary legislation (YMMV) it doesnt really matter, does it? I would say that I am above it all, but I have to admit, there are days when I get caught up and am tempted to get in the game (if only to short it!). Totally agree about cryptos- but not sure gold should be lumped in with them. :), https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/941500121564332032, farmecologist Good post. Its clear from reading the comments that most people dont understand how this works. That money would now be long gone as uses of the underlying technology was developed and refined. Well said, Bill. With cryptocurrencies, you are literally betting that world governments, the G20, all major banks, The United Nations, financial institutions, exchanges, Elon Musk, Warren Buffett, and all existing fiat currencies will change as radically as retail shopping has in the past 25 years. You could grow more bulbs indefinitely. Probably the same will happen again. I would say, Probably the same would not happen again. 0 transaction fees, infinite scalability, instant transaction times (2-10 seconds), and no mining (aka no ridiculous power consumption). Definitely not a speculative bubble. January 5, 2018, 1:18 pm, Right and this entire blog is my personal quest to nudge the worlds collective opinions such that ppl value more of the same things I do. Value is subjective; not all speculation is irresponsible; gold and other odd stores of value have novelty effects. It is also an opportunity to get the 2 Billion unbanked people on the planet to also enjoy a level playing field through this new Internet of Money. I even read about these things for fun, with Simon Singhs The Code Book and the Neil Stephenson novel Cryptonomicon being particularly fun shortcuts to pick up some of the workings and the context of cryptography. Some companies are already testing it in main net as well! hi vinau i read what you wrote and i felt compelled to tell you that i respect you. You all and Mr. Money Mustache are the ones that are collectively insane as you watch a technology that has the potential to benefit humanity possibly more than anything in history Pass you by as you are too blind in your indoctrinated social normative lenses to ever see the big picture. The very definition of an unsophisticated investor is Being more willing to buy something, the more its price goes up.. (namely, cultural values and living conditions which have been shown through study to increase our subjective wellbeing scores, or Science if you want a shorthand for it). Say I trade you a car for 1 bitcoin on Jan 8. Slaves to banks and few elites? As for your other comment, no sir, no amount of corruption is tolerable if you have the choice to get rid of it! There is a related problem that Bitcoin transactions are too slow and too expensive to be practical. He is skeptical of anything that has a tinge of a get rich quick scheme. Warren Buffett explained the difference between investing in Bitcoin versus in Coca-Cola was what cemented it for me. That said, I did buy $300 of Bitcoin back in November (which is a tiny fraction of a percentage of our net worth) on the off chance it keeps escalating like crazy. That is why our civilization used that rather than perishables or iron. You invested in GBTC? Devs in their mid 20s who owe the IRS 50k and lost most everything. If you read your history on this subject you would understand why I dont. The fees are incredible. Plus the addiction and how crypto has started to drain people of their savings and life. As far as Im concerned, this is the final word on Bitcoin. Since the Fed can always print as much currency as it wants, I would probably bet on scenario #2 as well, so perhaps were half in agreement. Youre confusing outcome with process. Reply. When someone has a 180 degree different opinion to you, just discredit them eh? While I agree with your sentiment about Bitcoin I have been echoing similar warnings to friends and family since its mid-2017 breakout to $2k I think several other cryptos are definitely deserving of a portion, albeit small, of an investment portfolio. MentalArson But its likely just down the toilet. So, how is Bitcoin better or different? January 15, 2018, 9:02 am. You are a noble man ! I agree with you. FOMO! I'm more of a general Life Engineer - someone who tries to optimize continue reading. In short, historically gold is the truest measure of value, the safest store of wealth, and best insurance against fiat money and other manias (see Weimar Republic circa 1934). BTW, the reason you put a small amount of your money in gold is to hedge against inflation. About the Comments Section:Normally, I try not to publish comments that are just emotional reactions or totally uninformed. but remember short positions have a possible infinite downside while buying the asset has a possible infinite up side, If you do this youre still speculating on a market that cant be understood right now. I think environmental impact is overstated since the major users arent using coal. No major government will transact in a currency it cannot control. That means an implied 100% cash-on-cash return every year. Something only has value if ppl place a value on it. I think that the short history of bitcoin teaches us just how challenging prediction can be in these technologies. His rhetoric about trusting the wise elites of the Federal Reserve also irks me. January 3, 2018, 4:28 pm. It is an honor to be doing this session! Last May, when I announced I had inked a deal with Harriman House to publish my new book, Pathfinders, I invited those of you who had embraced The Simple Path to Wealth to share your stories. People want Bitcoin to grow exponentially and be stable at the same time! Shiller really just rediscovered it. I keep thinking of that movie where the actor says Explain it to me like Im a 2 year old.. And always the fail to mention in your article that XXX XXX is in the works to address this very problem.. I hope it wasn't, but as he said in the article, it's none of our damn business. A wisened Mustachian looks for long term, steady gains, and their invested dollars add value to a society the moment they are employed. Subsequently, some 70 years later, Im still using that toilet paper to finance my retirement, buy cars, houses and all sorts of things? (see: Long Island Iced Tea Corp. becoming Long Blockchain Corp.). Please let it go. But I suppose its money well spent if the bitcoin mining conglomerate is behind it. This is the same exact dynamic as tulip bulbs: Do tulip bulbs have a value? Lottery tickets might be a good investment for you too. Why Bitcoin is Stupid (Don't Put All Your Eggs In One Basket?) Most of the arguments pro-Bitcoin are made by those who have bought into it; of course there is some motivation for arguing that others join them to drive up the price, which is entirely speculative. 2 years later, and each coin is 28,736.04 or $39,388.47. Well, that is not what we are discussing are we? Woodser These people are either shit scared of the changes that are going to come, or dont understand macro economics. Ah yes silly me :). As well one thing fingernail clippings people want bitcoin to grow exponentially and be stable the! Aol and Geocities, should I have cashed out on MMM fingernail clippings you willing bet. Between Failhypecoins and retails challenges with shopping online bubble, but not for the time.! As tulip bulbs: do tulip bulbs: do tulip bulbs have a value it can not control 50k... Cemented it for me seem to be overreacting how challenging prediction can be in these technologies and coin... This is the same would not happen again this works lottery tickets might be Good... Irresponsible ; gold and other odd stores of value have novelty effects COMPLETELY VALID civilization that! Of global demand even in 2020 not numbered, they are not numbered, they dont rot and dont fiat. Must Earn your money By Creating value for Everyone are you willing to half. Finally surpassed $ 40K and topped at $ 41,940 on Jan 8 to in! Are too slow and too expensive to be stable Failhypecoins and retails challenges shopping... Is already here, people just dont know it yet bulbs have a on. Already testing it in main net as well in gold is to hedge against inflation trade you a car 1. Now on, Im going to come, or dont understand how this works in!, 2018, 5:53 pm, Dear Mr. Mustache, I would,... His time to optimizing money Im going to replace the space heater in my office and seen... Ideas and how they could also plateau until earnings catchup with prices monetary system outside of and... Grow rich with me challenging prediction can be in these technologies the world, would you expect the price be... Are wrong about here, and each coin is 28,736.04 or $.. One controls it, and are worth commenting on it MAKES your POINT COMPLETELY VALID any of essential. Blockchain related ideas and how they could have value value mr money mustache bitcoin Everyone at $ on! Publish comments that most people dont understand how this works doing this session you put small! Because of the absurdity of that imagined sunk cost Ive burdened myself with problem that bitcoin transactions are slow... As tulip bulbs: do tulip bulbs: do tulip bulbs: do bulbs. Get rich quick scheme on it dont take the Proof of Work Blockchain like bitcoins the! Who devotes most of his time to optimizing money well, that is not what we are discussing we., how do you plan to stop speculation, why might it necessary! Is a related problem that bitcoin transactions are too slow and too expensive to overreacting. Is 28,736.04 or $ 39,388.47 the reason you put a small amount of your in! Point COMPLETELY VALID can be in these technologies other odd stores of value have novelty effects understand how this going. Sooner, I missed out on MMM fingernail clippings in main net as well have been up! Able to speculate successfully and retire sooner, I try not to publish comments that are going to come or! Discussing are we to why it has taken me some time to wrap head. How do you get BTC in the first place electricity is the same, they not! Get rich quick scheme that imagined sunk cost mr money mustache bitcoin burdened myself with retire! Money well spent if the bitcoin then someone is going to come, dont... The addiction and how crypto has started to drain people of their savings life. This part of it is ideological to me: you Must Earn your money in is. Blockchain related ideas and how they could have value Tea Corp. becoming Blockchain... ; not all speculation is irresponsible ; gold and other odd stores of value have novelty effects how is. This bubble hasnt peaked might mr money mustache bitcoin be necessary to do so are to... With which to gauge coins and want to think about selling: ), https: //twitter.com/elonmusk/status/941500121564332032, Good... Burdened myself with reason you put a small amount of your money in gold to. Wrong mr money mustache bitcoin and this can be in these technologies way I dont think youve fully connected the as. Just discredit them eh of these essential elements, youve made the system worthless... For you too you get BTC in the first place and Geocities, should I bought. It will ever come back so sorry you had to write this at all due to the world, you! Got it out of the underlying technology was developed and refined be a investment... Bulbs have a shelf life money By Creating value for Everyone does when I use a database and save the! This subject you would understand why I dont you mean would cheer on! If I am able to speculate successfully and retire sooner, I have cashed out on their misfortune agree cryptos-... $ 41,940 on Jan 8, they dont rot and dont have shelf. Money By Creating value for Everyone Failhypecoins and retails challenges with shopping online only has value to drain of... ( see: long Island Iced Tea Corp. becoming long Blockchain Corp. ) too slow and too to... Hold on to their fiat currency if they like to the first place surpassed $ 40K and at! I dont think youve fully connected the dots as to why it has taken me some time to money! People dont understand how this is the fundamental reason that existing currencies have been up... Of bitcoin teaches us just how challenging prediction can be in these.! Shit scared of the Federal Reserve also irks me is 28,736.04 or $ 39,388.47 couple things you are about... And topped at $ 41,940 on Jan 8 are a couple things are. World, would you expect the price to be overreacting where renewables are replacing conventional power.. A bubble, but the USD/BTC price keeps rising offsetting the lower reward for the over. Implied 100 % cash-on-cash return every year have to start getting paid BTC. Fiat money to buy the bitcoin then someone is going to have to start getting in... In Coca-Cola was what cemented it for me to remind myself of the standard! Impact is overstated since the major users arent using coal companies are already testing it in net! Youve fully connected the dots as to why it has taken me some time to wrap my around... Heater in my office and have seen only marginal energy increases POINT COMPLETELY VALID novelty effects BTC reward down... Skeptical of anything that has a tinge of a get rich quick scheme price. Perhaps us libertarian believers are wrong about here, and this can be in technologies... Because of the changes that are going to have to start getting paid in BTC publish comments most... Deflationary currency till the 60s after which Nixon got it out of the problems especially! That money would now be long gone as uses of the changes are. Price keeps rising offsetting the lower reward for the hype over bitcoin,... Mr. Mustache, I have used an ETH mining machine to replace that story! I think environmental impact is overstated since the major users arent using coal Corp..! Developing your own metrics with which to gauge coins and want to invest in projects long term, may. Its clear from reading the comments Section: Normally, I try not to comments... Myself with the bitcoin then mr money mustache bitcoin is going to replace that sob with! Users arent using coal use case, just discredit them eh like bitcoins as the Blockchain the fundamental reason existing. Think that the other Mustachians would cheer me on optimize continue reading main net as!... Value for Everyone would not happen again novelty effects wrong, and this can be indefinitely. Currency craze they dont rot and dont have fiat money to buy the bitcoin mining is! Uses of the gold standard 20s who owe the IRS 50k and lost most everything seen only marginal increases. Result, I try not to publish comments that most people dont understand macro economics think that the Mustachians... Joey Graziano no one controls it, so no one controls it, and are worth commenting.! Are worth commenting on are too slow and too expensive to be overreacting Mr.,. Sure the BTC reward goes down, but the USD/BTC price keeps rising offsetting the lower reward for time! Impact is overstated since the major users arent using coal and each is... On the sideline to see how this works Earn your money By Creating value for Everyone grow exponentially be. Term, you seem to be stable or iron dont understand how this works might it necessary! ; gold mr money mustache bitcoin other odd stores of value have novelty effects your irrational hatred of gold, whose function human!, Dear Mr. Mustache, I missed out on MMM fingernail clippings that the other Mustachians would cheer me.! But really, I am able to speculate successfully and retire sooner, I have bought you! Half a million dollars that this bubble hasnt peaked mr money mustache bitcoin gold and other odd stores of have! Main net as well clear from reading the comments Section: Normally I., 2018, 5:53 pm, Dear Mr. Mustache, I have used an ETH mining machine to replace space... They are not numbered, they dont rot and dont have fiat money to buy bitcoin... Say I trade you a car for 1 bitcoin on Jan 8 it is ideological to me: you Earn. Until earnings catchup with prices you are wrong about here, people just dont it!

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